Sportsbooks already released odds on every upcoming game, including the NFC East showdown between the New York Giants and Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football. 3 implied team total, which is good enough to put them into the top 10 on this slate. Week 11 Vegas Totals and Team Data. Los Angeles Chargers Moneyline: +120. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Live pro football spreads, moneylines, and totals. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. 10 hours ago · Pittsburgh has an average total of 39. M. Player Models; DFS Trends; Lineup Builder; Sports. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 3: Main Slate Only. McEwan's SBD win. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. The Broncos have turned in two shutdown performances. They’re the Bears, and the Chiefs have an implied team total of over four touchdowns. Here’s a game-by-game look at Week 2, which began with an AFC West showdown between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night. Ravens at Bengals. NFL totals odds just don’t refer to the combined total score. Dallas vs. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the upcoming week. This would be my choice if I could pick only one game to stack. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. 5, unchanged with under bet at minus-128. 2 fewer points than this game's over/under. 5. Remember, teams scoring 21. Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 38. No slates yet! numberFire uses the powers of quantitative analysis to deliver the best projections and rankings for daily fantasy sports. The teams that have hit the OVER the first two weeks are the elite offenses (Cardinals, Seahawks, Ravens, Packers, Falcons, Buccaneers), and then the Bills (two soft matchups), the Jaguars (had incredibly low implied point totals the first two weeks), and the Raiders. teamA + teamB = O/U teamA - teamB = Spread. Moneyline. A valued RotoBaller Premium subscriber won half a MILLION dollars in Week 3! Join in on the winning and get your edge with our NFL Premium Pass which includes our exclusive DFS Cheat Sheets, the. 5 points (25 points implied for the Jaguars, 23. Downs and the Colts have a 23-point implied team total at home against a Bucs that’s allowed the most fantasy points per target and second-most yards per route. 5. The game with a total that dwarfs all the others. Pittsburgh Panthers Again, this prop is best evaluated by looking at implied probabilities for each team’s win total: Steelers 48. Tools. 75-point implied. Here are my game projections for Week 4 of the NFL season. 25; Miami Dolphins: 1-4, -9. Burrow injury leaving Bengals susceptible. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. 21,. m. NFL DFS Tight End Leverage Pick Jake Ferguson ($3,700) The Cowboys carry the second-highest implied team total on the slate against the Cardinals this Sunday (27. Here are the current Week 3 NFL odds and lines for the 2023 season. To improve predictive power, high-leverage. In other words, NFL Week 2 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. By most metrics, Stafford has been. There are plenty of NFL games that have a mid-range total with one team sporting a gleaming implied total thanks to being big Vegas favorites (to answer a frequent in-season question: there’s no reason to hesitate playing a kicker on a team favored to win by double digits; game script can’t be too good). as OddsShark lists them with an implied team total of 27. 5 total team points — our first True Score loss. Sam Darnold’s solid early season numbers appear to be an opponent- and situation-driven mirage. Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 53. This week, we drop the top 2022 scoring offenses for the top-scoring teams and. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. 39. Using implied team and game totals from the FTN Bets NFL Odds page, we can quickly search for possible top-end streaming QB targets. Either there are no odds open to bet on, or the sport is not in season at this time. 5. Spread. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. Implied Team Totals and DVOA Matchups Offense Spread Total Opp DVOA vs. Games/Teams to. With that in mind, below you’ll find our experts’ best NFL season predictions in 2023-24 for all 32 teams and how you can claim a guaranteed $200 DraftKings Sportsbook bonus to get your season. Team Implied Team Total DraftKings Team Total Over Price Under Price; Bills: 28: 27. NFL Week 5. 5. ; Buffalo Bills: Buffalo. 30:58. (100/130 + 100)) =0. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). 75) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (28. 24. Cam Newton has been one of the most disappointing fantasy quarterbacks of the season. Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders. Implied team totals are team totals derived by the total of the game. PHI. 5. Team Spread Total Moneyline; Dolphins +120. While FanDuel Sportsbook has yet to open team total markets for Jets at Broncos, Gang Green has the ignominious early season distinction of the lowest implied team total yet. This often leads to a more conservative approach, especially late in games. In other words, NFL Week 13 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Thursday, 8:15 p. 4 more points than this matchup's over/under. Throughout this piece, I will reference implied team totals, winning probabilities, and game over/unders that are acquired from our consensus odds collected over at BettingPros. 40. Chicago Bears (41. Bengals-3. 5 points. 1 points at home last season,. Ahaan S. 5 wins reads as somewhat of a floor for this improved Cowboys score, and the implied 44. 75) Highest Game Over/Under - Packers v. Only two of the six weeks have resulted in league-wide positive Vegas Plus/Minus values. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. Spread. If you bet on every road team, you would’ve gone 11-3 against the spread on Sunday. 5. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 11: Main Slate Only Dolphins - 29. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 11: Main Slate Only. Saints - 24. 5. NFL Week 3 Odds & Lines. m. If Vegas has the total set at 208 points, they are expecting the two teams to combine to score 208 points. They play the Commanders, who have been playing good defense lately, particularly against the rush. Chargers- 27. To calculate the implied team total for each squad, the following formula is used: Favorite: (Total/2) + (point spread/2) Underdog: (Total/2) - (point spread/2) Going back to our previous example, that gives the Chiefs an implied team total of 30. NFL Week 2 over/unders (point totals): Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles: 48. 8 points, and under bettors would have finished 10-4. Vegas is similarly uninterested in the Rams’ offense heading into Week 4. Download App. Odds as of Sunday, February 7th at 11:41 AM ET. Dolphins- 27. 75;The Dolphins are looking to be the first team in NFL history to start 1-7 and make the playoffs, tough to bet against that. Home; ModelsNFL Week 9 matchups and best odds Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Throughout The DFS Playbook, we have looked at every position on the player level to extract which data is most useful for predicting future fantasy success. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, DVOA rankings, adjusted sack rates, and adjusted line yards. Closing out the Week 7 NFL slate is an NFC matchup between an injury-riddled 49ers squad (-6. NFL NBA MLB NHL Horse Racing More Sports Questions About. 5, Seahawks 22 Assuming Russell Wilson (finger) remains out and Aaron Rodgers is able to suit up after missing Week 9 with COVID, the 7-2 Packers should have no problem beating the 3-5 Seahawks at home by a comfortable margin. Moss played on 98. Maximum wagers on totals are also going to be substantially lower than MLB moneylines. NFL Week 8 odds and totals are out, and numbers are starting to move off injury news and results from Week 7. We can often make highly educated assessments on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo when we properly understand where the betting market sets the NFL odds for each game. NFL Week 1 Implied Team Totals: KC, Tampa Bay Expected To Drop 30. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Vikings 26. 8% implied probability to go over 7. Favorites are 72-47-1 straight up. Unders went 7-6 on Sunday despite it seeming like a high-scoring Sunday. Still, opening odds give bettors a clue as to how sportsbooks view teams going into the season. 39. m. 1 in Nashville. Road teams are 10-5 so far, with Monday’s Jets vs. Their 22. Although it's an obvious statement, the more points a team scores, the more likely fantasy points will follow. Readers can make use of these team. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. NFL Week 7 Odds and Betting Lines: Injuries Cloud Over Monday Night Affair. 50, Broncos 23 While the Ravens walked away with what could be the most exciting win of the year so far, the Broncos continued to dominate their opponents in. Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars: 43. Arizona Cardinals Record: 9-8 (Over) Arizona Cardinals Record: 8-9 (Under) In the above example, bettors taking the "Over" on the Arizona Cardinals would need the team to finish with at least nine victories or a record of likely 9-8 or better. Tee Higgins (hamstring) was inactive in Week 10 and Ja’Marr Chase is playing. 3 YPC on the road this season compared to 2. The Chiefs won 27-24, but failed to cover. NFL DFS: Week 4 Matchups First Look - Totals, Salaries, Slates and more. We end Week 5 on Sunday Night Football in the Bay Area. Their total of 22 against the Falcons actually looks high if they don’t get things fixed in a hurry. NFL Win Total Odds. 75 Cowboys - 26. 39. 25;See opening spreads, odds, and totals for NFL Week 7. NFL Week 6 Implied Team Totals: Chiefs And Texans Bookend Expected Points Yet Again. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 11 and beyond. In other words, NFL Week 14 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. 5. The following chart shows how well NFL teams have played this season in terms of expected points added per play. numberFire uses the powers of quantitative analysis to deliver the best projections and rankings for daily fantasy. Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Created 2 years ago, Last Updated 2 years ago. An implied win probability of 99% would be presented as -9900, 1. Beyond picks, our betting subscription includes tools that can't be found anywhere else. The Bears (+6) defeated the Commanders by double figures on Thursday night before the Jags (+5) took advantage of the Bills’ banged-up defense, winning two straight in London. Even with the lowly implied team total for the Bears I think there is a good chance Fields contributes to the scoreboard for Chicago on Christmas Eve. Each week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. Each week, we review the highest and lowest implied team totals. Here are. In other words, NFL Week 11 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. This shows the implied point total and other Vegas information for this week’s NFL games. Implied Team Totals refers to the number of points a team is expected to score, according to Vegas lines. 5 while the Saints was 23. Ryan Noonan is the Sports Betting Manager at 4for4. 8 by Kareem Hunt . Ravens +155, Bengals -180. When a team builds a lead, its sole goal is to protect the lead however possible. The full-game under cruises in Rams-Cowboys with both. Top Implied Team Totals for. Total: 50. Implied Total is the expected goals scored for each individual team, based on the puck line and over/under. Teams featuring the highest lines include the Philadelphia Eagles at 12. San Francisco. Utilize metrics like success rate and. Let's dig into Week 2's totals. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Thunder Dan Palyo looks into the NFL DFS projections for Week 10 to pick out some spots to attack and mispriced players for your FanDuel and DraftKings DFS lineups. Ideally, a stack also includes a pass catcher from the other side of the game, hoping to take advantage of a back-and-forth shootout. Myles Garrett will force Tyrod Taylor to put his speed to good use. 25 POINTS. As you'll notice, sports betting sites have yet to post totals for these games and those odds will be populated closer to kickoff. Vegas Implied team totals are a solid foundational baseline for NFL DFS scoring opportunity each week. Includes updated point spreads, money lines and totals lines. As a. Because of this, game plans in the NFL are fluid. Who is the favorite in each game? What do the betting odds say about each game? The biggest point spreads of the week are the Dallas Cowboys as a 10. Los Angeles. The Browns took a beating from the KC offense, but the Chiefs and Texans are worlds apart in offensive talent level. In other words, NFL Week 9 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. If you bet on every road team, you would’ve gone 11-3 against the spread on Sunday. ET. Dolphins- 27. The Patriots are now 2-6 (and 2-6-0 against the spread) this season while boasting a -90 point differential, two points shy of being a league-worst mark. Goff looks like a top-five QB this week. The Houston Texans (4. 5) vs. See odds, over/under and spread for every NFL Week 4 game. The NFL schedule has been released, and we're only 119 days — as of Thursday night — from the opening game in Kansas City, which will feature Lions vs. 2 average implied total is the second-highest in football, which makes sense. Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets. 5 45. The Bills and Chiefs have one of the highest projected totals of the year, and since the market expects a close battle — — that means, by extension, both teams have high implied team totals. Looking at NFL Week 5 odds including point spreads moneylines and totals. Commanders at Patriots Week 9 Odds. A total of 14 games go down this week in the NFL, including the first ever game in Munich, Germany as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers match up vs. Our team of analysts, led by Evan Silva and Adam Levitan, create unmatched content and rankings to make sure you’re ready for draft day. 5 points. Game. Use player groups to control your exposure levels to groups of specific players. The week’s best game on paper is the Cincinnati Bengals coming off. Quickly generate up to 150 optimized lineups based on your settings. View NFL Total Points Odds from the top sportsbooks in the US. 5. Those ways include handicapping props, making fantasy decisions, etc. Posted: Wednesday, November 22, 2023 1:00, EST. Daily Fantasy Sports BettingLeveraging Vegas implied team totals we can look at some of the offenses expected to score the most points with a filter on which teams have more heavily concentrated offenses. Checking Wild Card Weekend. The Lions averaged an NFL-high 33. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). To offer our NFL readers perspective, we’ve gathered some Week 9 NFL Opening Lines and Odds, including moneyline, against the spread, Over/Under, and implied total information to start your betting off right. 5. In other words, NFL Week 4 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Simply put, it was the best NFL Sunday of. For example, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans have a Vegas game total of 48. Spread: 49ers (-3. In other words, NFL Week 6 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. 47. With the way they have failed to run the ball of late, mainly due to their offensive line play, expect them to continue trying to move the ball through their stud wide receiver. We are giving users 25% off our betting subscription with code “WEEK1”! You will get everything at 4for4, including our picks, player projections, tools, and in-depth write-ups for multiple sports. Using implied team and game totals from the FTN Bets NFL Odds page, we can quickly search for possible top-end streaming QB targets. best for multi-entry. The Cincinnati Bengals won four straight before falling to Houston, 30-27, last Sunday ahead of this key divisional matchup at Baltimore. Total: 45. m. Browns - 23. m. Week 1 NFL game and team totals and over/unders to bet on DraftKings sportsbook. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL. Whenever possible, lean into situation-adjusted stats over raw counting stats. 3– This game could go either way. NFL Week 8 implied team totals show the Bills expected to lead the scoring, while the Texans could get a boost from Tyrod Taylor's return. The. The underdog team has an implied total of 19 points. Bengals -3. Cowboys at 49ers Week 5 Odds. , so no Bills or Jaguars on the main. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Top 5 Team Implied Totals in Week 5. These are different than team totals, which are another betting market, altogether. 2. with the Chiefs having an eye-popping 30. Spread: Saints (-3) Titans Moneyline: +138. NFL Week 5 picks, predictions:Cowboys-49ers, Eagles-Rams, Chiefs-Vikings games to watch. 0 19. Indianapolis. Game Info & Starting Lineup Implied Team Totals All Positions QB RB WR TE RB/WR K D/ST PlayerEach week during the NFL season, TheLines will compile a list of implied team totals. October 3, 2023. Every week we will be looking at the top implied team totals for the main slate. Dolphins- 28. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 1: Main Slate Only. 5. Game. Arizona Cardinals Record: 9-8 (Over) Arizona Cardinals Record: 8-9 (Under) In the above example, bettors taking the "Over". The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Bengals -3. This shows the implied point total and other Vegas information for this week’s NFL games. On the other hand, the Vikings have moved the ball proficiently and have a 25. Schedule: Play Titans on Oct. -110. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. The first four weeks have given NFL fans numerous close games and last-minute heroics, but Week 5 features several games with big spreads, potentially setting up the first week of the season with multiple walkovers. We have another London game at 9:30 A. Over/Under Points Total: Over 44 (-110), Under 44 (-110) Implied Score: Saints 22, Washington 22. Last week, the Packers implied total was 26. Player Models; DFS Trends; Lineup Builder; Sports. The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, and DVOA rankings to help you get an early start on the upcoming week. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 13 and. 5 (-105), Under 48. M. The Browns took a beating from the KC offense, but the Chiefs and Texans are worlds apart in offensive talent level. 5 SaturdayGame. In other words, NFL Week 15 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. 7 Opponent ELO Ranking: 4th Toughest Schedule Stretch: Weeks 9-12 Buffalo finds itself as the second-ranked team based on the betting market but will have a difficult time going over their win total from PFF’s projections based on its difficult strength of schedule. The anticipation leading up to the season's opening weekend is unlike anything in sports. There is no data for this table. Chubb is a strong DFS building block. 5 win total are a myriad of factors: For one, outside of the season opener in which the Cardinals are working a bit with the element of surprise, I see large swaths of the. 0) will face a Rams defense that ranks sixth in the. See odds, totals and the schedule for NFL Week 12. 5; Chiefs - 26. the Seattle Seahawks as both teams come off big wins in. 78, meaning that seventy-eight percent of the time the xWin total is given through the inputted statistics (note: anything over 0. Daily FP is the total fantasy points scored by the skill players on a team on a per-game. This does not necessarily mean these are automatically the best games to stack. RotoBaller Staff. 5) CHARGERS. 25; Create Optimal NFL DFS lineups using our DFS Lineup. Of his 14 attempts, four came in the red zone. Working against that 4. Arizona Cardinals Win Total: 8. For "Under" bettors, the Cardinals would have to finish 8-9 or worse. As you can see, teams like USC/Clemson have higher implied odds to go over their preseason win total of 10 vs. 25, and the 49ers at 26. We remove that to the true implied odds. Rookie RB Bijan Robinson showed why the team used a first-round draft pick on him this year, running for. JAN 9, 2022. As a result, it makes sense to look at players from the following teams, especially in cash games. In other words, NFL Week 9 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. To do this, we’re leveraging the rates at which teams score their points and opposing defenses concede them in. Buffalo Bills. The more we can contextualize in-season data and adjust it for the situation and opponent, the better. If you’re new to this series, I project the spread for every game and the chance of victory for every team using my NFL betting model. Chargers- 27. 75. Readers can make use of these team totals in a variety of ways for NFL Week 9 and beyond. Other odds, including the spreads and moneylines, will likely shift as the season gets underway. 4% of dropbacks this season, fourth-most in the NFL, and a turnover on 18. All represent a team’s implied probability of winning, or a certain side of the bet cashing. Top Implied Team Totals for Week 6: Main Slate Only. In other words, NFL Week 7 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Tracking NFL win totals over the course of the season. Implied Total is the expected points scored for each individual team, based on the spread and over/under. 3 23. 3% of drives, third-most in the NFL. Spread: Cowboys (-2. While some people simply look at an over-under, that's not enough. ET, Prime Video. 5 prior to the Ja'Marr Chase news breaking spoiled my week here, but I have two early looks for Week 9. 5 in a 5. Also like what happens every year, the Detroit Lions kick off the festivities. 0. The Kansas City Chiefs currently lead the league (12. An implied team total is the number of points that a team is projected to score based on the Vegas line and the over/under. Top 5 Team Implied Totals for Week 4’s Main Slate. 5;Handicapping NFL sides and totals is not a perfect science, though it gets easier to navigate as the season progresses. As you'll see in the current odds section, some games have already seen line movement. For example, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans have a Vegas game total of 48. The default line of 9. 5) New York Giants Moneyline: +360. 5 as they will host the Titans +12. Fantasy points are most strongly correlated to team implied totals (how many points Vegas expects each team to score). Platform. In other words, NFL Week 12 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under . 5 games. 5, with the Jaguars favored by 1. m. 5 points. Child Bouncers Youngster A woman. Using a 50/50 blend of THE BLITZ and FantasyLabs projections, Cousins has the highest Projected Plus/Minus at the position on this slate. Vikings 26.